Is This a Hiccup or Not?


by Laurel S. McQueen MADDUXResearch@aol.com

 

Hillsborough, the region’s lead market for business parks, went negative this quarter for the first time in four years – its steepest falloff since 1991. And Pinellas endured its third consecutive quarter in which departures exceeded move-ins, something the county has not experienced in nearly 25 years of surveying by this magazine. Meantime, Pasco enjoyed its second-best quarter and Polk reported a respectable amount of activity.

Maddux Business Report Real Estate Report

Overall, leasing in the seven-county region grew by a miniscule 46,700 sf in the first quarter, although for the 12 months the volume stands at a healthy 2.4-million sf. For the quarter, Pasco’s net absorption came in at eight times the previous quarter’s volume, dropping the vacancy rate by 4.7 points. Most active was the rapidly growing Dade City Business Center, but ComPark 75 and West Pasco Industrial also picked up new tenants.

Polk’s first-quarter leasing was more than a third above its two year quarterly average. But the vacancy rate notched up a bit with the addition of new space in Davenport. The annualized net absorption soared 58 percent from last period as this quarter’s activity replaced a net loss from a year ago in the 12-month moving rate. Hillsborough’s stellar results in 2007 came to a halt this quarter. A number of locations reported small move-outs. But five parks reported departures of 40,000 sf or more. Annualized absorption dropped by more than one-third from last period.

The market west of I-275 was hurt most. Nineteen locations reported move-outs, while only five saw move-ins. This market has now endured net losses the last three quarters. It has been two and a half years since the market east of I-275 recorded a loss, as it did this quarter. Sixteen business parks reported move-outs while six reported move-ins. Construction was completed on two distribution buildings – at Sabal and Fairfield parks – both fully leased. But large losses were seen at Tampa East and West Hanna Distribution.

Maddux Business Report Real Estate Report

Pinellas’ three consecutive losses have driven the annual activity down by nearly one-third from last period. Worse, if you were to remove ValPak’s 2007 opening from the 12-month rate, the county would have suffered a loss of 192,930 sf over the last year. Sarasota underwent a second straight loss this quarter, dropping annual absorption by 36 percent. Departures were recorded at six locations while only one saw a move-in.

Manatee’s activity was flat but the vacancy rate ticked up a bit with the opening of 63,670 sf at two parks. Nothing is leased yet in this space. As paltry as this quarter was, the county’s 12-month volume is still up by 14 percent because the current quarter’s volume is better than that of a year ago.

No leasing activity was reported in Hernando County, but construction was started on 89,000 sf of spec space at Airport Industrial Park.

Across the region 1.55-million sf of space is currently under construction, 28 percent of which is pre-leased. A year ago, 2.87-million sf was under construction with 40 percent preleased.



The MADDUX BUSINESS REPORT covers industrial/warehouse activity only within defined business parks. It does not pick up on activity outside these parks. Quarterly data is revised as new information is obtained. Data on business park space guides may not square with the charts below as sub-lease space and space coming available are shown in the guides, but not included in the analysis. For more detailed information on the survey call MADDUX BUSINESS REPORT Business Report research department at 727.321.3225 or email MADDUXResearch@AOL.com.


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